| Voters were asked, regardless of who they support for president, which candidate they expect to be president after the 2024 election. Voters in all swing states expect Harris over Trump to be president in 2024, by a 51% to 48% margin in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Voters expect Harris over Trump in Nevada 50% to 48%, Michigan 52% to 47%, and by a larger 53% to 46% margin in North Carolina.
Statewide Elections
- Arizona: US Senate, 48% support Democrat Ruben Gallego, 42% support Kari Lake. Ten percent are undecided.
- Michigan: US Senate, 47% support Democrat Elissa Slotkin, 42% support Republican Mike Rogers, and 11% are undecided.
- Nevada: US Senate, 48% support incumbent Democrat Jacky Rosen, 41% support Republican Sam Brown, and 9% are undecided.
- North Carolina: Governor, 48% support Democrat Josh Stein, 40% support Republican Mark Robinson, 10% are undecided.
- Pennsylvania: US Senate, 47% support incumbent Democrat Bob Casey, 42% support Republican David McCormick, 12% are undecided.
- Wisconsin: US Senate, 49% support incumbent Democrat Tammy Baldwin, 46% support Republican Eric Hovde, 5% are undecided.
Economic Concerns Top Issue for Voters
The top issue voters name facing their state is the economy, but varies in intensity. Concern for immigration is at its highest in Arizona, while concern for housing affordability is highest in Nevada.
- Arizona: 31% economy, 23% immigration, 12% abortion, 11% threats to democracy, 10% housing affordability
- Georgia: 50% economy, 9% threats to democracy, 9% healthcare, 9% housing affordability, 7% immigration, 6% abortion access
- Michigan: 51% economy, 10% threats to democracy, 9% housing affordability, 7% immigration, 7% healthcare
- Nevada: 39% economy, 16% housing affordability, 9% threats to democracy, 8% education, 8% immigration, 6% healthcare
- North Carolina: 45% economy, 10% housing affordability, 10% immigration
- Pennsylvania: 52% economy, 12% threats to democracy, 8% immigration, 6% abortion access, 6% healthcare
- Wisconsin: 44% economy, 12% threats to democracy, 9% housing affordability, 8% healthcare, 8% immigration, 8% abortion access
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