Emerson Poll: Battleground States Unbudging in Harris v. Trump
By Insider NJ |
September 19, 2024, 7:28 am | in
News
New Emerson College Polling/The Hill surveys of likely voters in seven critical swing states find former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris neck and neck in the 2024 presidential election. In Georgia, 50% support Trump, 47% Harris. In Arizona and Wisconsin, 49% support Trump, 48% support Harris. In Nevada, the candidates are tied with 48% support each. In North Carolina, 49% support Harris, 48% Trump. In Michigan, 49% support Harris, 47% support Trump.
“There has been marginal movement in the presidential election since the late August Emerson swing state polls before the presidential debate,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “In Arizona and North Carolina, Trump lost a point, and Harris gained a point. Trump’s support stayed the same in Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin, while Harris’ support decreased by a point in Michigan and Nevada, and stayed the same in Wisconsin. In Georgia, Trump gained two points and Harris lost two.”
Voters were asked, regardless of who they support for president, which candidate they expect to be president after the 2024 election. Voters in all swing states expect Harris over Trump to be president in 2024, by a 51% to 48% margin in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Voters expect Harris over Trump in Nevada 50% to 48%, Michigan 52% to 47%, and by a larger 53% to 46% margin in North Carolina.
Statewide Elections
Arizona: US Senate, 48% support Democrat Ruben Gallego, 42% support Kari Lake. Ten percent are undecided.
Michigan: US Senate, 47% support Democrat Elissa Slotkin, 42% support Republican Mike Rogers, and 11% are undecided.
Nevada: US Senate, 48% support incumbent Democrat Jacky Rosen, 41% support Republican Sam Brown, and 9% are undecided.
North Carolina: Governor, 48% support Democrat Josh Stein, 40% support Republican Mark Robinson, 10% are undecided.
Pennsylvania: US Senate, 47% support incumbent Democrat Bob Casey, 42% support Republican David McCormick, 12% are undecided.
Wisconsin: US Senate, 49% support incumbent Democrat Tammy Baldwin, 46% support Republican Eric Hovde, 5% are undecided.
Economic Concerns Top Issue for Voters
The top issue voters name facing their state is the economy, but varies in intensity. Concern for immigration is at its highest in Arizona, while concern for housing affordability is highest in Nevada.
It's going to be about getting out the vote. Vote vote vote and make sure everyone you know votes too.