“That said, Biden trails Trump 41% to 45% among voters in their 30s, among whom he led Trump in 2020,” Kimball continued. “Trump’s support has grown since 2020 among voters in their 50s according to this poll, leading Biden by 19 points, 57% to 38%.

New voters, those who did not vote in 2020, break for Trump 35% to 24%, with 41% undecided.

With third-party candidates included on the ballot test, Trump’s support decreased two points, from 46% to 44%, and Biden’s five points, from 44% to 39%. Six percent support Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and 1% support Cornel West and Jill Stein respectively. Ten percent are undecided.

• Since last month, RFK Jr.’s support has decreased from 8% to 6%.

A majority of voters (53%) say Donald Trump receiving a guilty verdict in the New York criminal trial would not impact their vote in 2024, while 25% say it makes them less likely to vote for the former president, and 23% more likely.

Democratic and Republican primary and caucus voters were asked if they think their party should nominate Joe Biden and Donald Trump, respectively, at their party conventions this summer, or if they should nominate someone else.

• 68% of Democratic primary voters think the Democratic Party should nominate Joe Biden, 24% think they should nominate someone else, and 8% are unsure or have no opinion.
  • A majority of all age groups support the Democrats nominating Joe Biden except voters under 30: 53% of voters under 30 think Democrats should nominate someone other than Joe Biden and 38% think they should nominate Joe Biden.
• 80% of Republican primary voters think the Republican Party should nominate Donald Trump, 14% think someone else should receive the nomination, and 6% are unsure or have no opinion.

The economy is the most important issue for 38% of voters, followed by immigration at 17%, threats to democracy at 13%, and healthcare, abortion access, crime, and housing affordability at 6% respectively.

• Respondents who said immigration is their top issue dropped four points since the April national poll, from 21% to 17%.
• Respondents who said threats to democracy is their top issue rose by three points, from 10% to 13%.