In the Democratic Primary taking place on February 6, 78% of voters plan to support President Joe Biden, while 19% are undecided.

“While majorities of all age groups support Biden as the nominee, 34% of Gen Z and Millennial voters under 40 are still undecided in the Democratic Primary,” Kimball said.

The president holds a 36% job approval among Nevada voters, while 54% disapprove of the job Biden is doing in office. A third of Nevada voters (33%) approve of the job Senator Jacky Rosen is doing in office, while 37% disapprove, and 31% are neutral.

In a hypothetical 2024 election between Biden and Trump, 47% of voters plan to support Trump while 45% support Biden. Eight percent are undecided. This reflects a much tighter race than the last Emerson poll in Nevada in October, where Trump led Biden 46% to 39%, with 14% undecided.

When independent candidates Robert Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein are added to the hypothetical ballot, Trump’s lead over Biden slightly increases, with 42% supporting Trump and 39% supporting Biden. Five percent would support Kennedy, while West and Stein received 1% respectively.

“Independent voters break for Trump over Biden by 12 points, 49% to 37%, with 14% undecided,” Kimball said. “When independent candidates are added to the ballot, Kennedy Jr. garners the support of 8% of independent Nevada voters, and Trump’s lead over Biden among independents increases by two points, leading 42% to 28%. Two percent support West and Stein respectively, and the share of undecided independent voters increases four points to 18%.”

The economy is the most important issue to 29% of Nevada voters, followed by housing affordability (13%), immigration (12%), education (11%), “threats to democracy” (10%), crime (9%), healthcare (9%), and abortion access (4%).

“Voters who find the economy to be the top issue facing their state break for Trump over Biden 57% to 35%, along with immigration 90% to 6%,” Kimball said. “Voters who find housing affordability to be the top issue break for Biden 57% to 36%, along with education 63% to 31%, and 'threats to democracy' 68% to 27%.”