EMERSON OCTOBER 2024 NATIONAL POLL: Trump 49%, Harris 49%
October 26, 2024, 8:13 am | in
OCTOBER 2024 NATIONAL POLL
Trump 49%, Harris 49%
A new Emerson College Polling national survey of US likely voters finds both former president Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris with 49% support in the 2024 presidential election. One percent plan to support a third-party candidate and one percent are undecided.
“With ten days until Election Day, the national poll finds a divided electorate,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “In this poll, independents report breaking for Trump 49% to 46% — a reversal from 2020, where they reported voting for Biden by about ten points."
“Male voters are breaking for Trump by 13 points, 55% to 42%, a larger margin than in 2020, while women break for Harris by ten points, 54% to 44%, underperforming Biden’s support in 2020,” Kimball added.
When asked when they made up their mind for president, 80% have made up their mind over a month ago, 10% in the past month, 7% in the past week, and 4% have not made up their mind yet.
62% of voters under 30 made up their mind over a month ago, while 20% made up their mind in the past month, 12% in the past week, and 5% have not made up their mind.
Regardless of whom they will vote for, 50% think Trump will win the election and 49% think Harris will win the election.
Over half of likely voters (53%) disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as president, while 41% approve.
Half of voters (50%) have a favorable view of Harris and half have an unfavorable view of the Vice President. Forty-nine percent have a favorable view of Trump, while 51% have an unfavorable view of the former president.
The top issue for voters continues to be the economy at 45%, followed by immigration (14%), threats to democracy (14%), abortion access (7%), healthcare (6%), and crime (4%).
A majority of voters think legalizing marijuana nationally is a good idea, while 40% think it is a bad idea.
“Legalizing marijuana is most supported by voters under 30, at 78% who say it is a good idea, and decreases with age, to 36% of voters 70 and over who say the same,” Kimball added.
Voters were asked which presidential candidate they think is more down-to-earth. Half of voters think Harris is more down-to-earth, 43% think Trump is more down-to-earth, and 7% think neither candidate is down-to-earth.
“While women voters break for Harris by about ten, they think she is the more down-to-earth candidate by a 20-point margin, 57% to 37%,” Kimball said. “Men think Trump is more down-to-earth by eight points, 50% to 42%.”
